
From scarcity to strategy: water as an investment opportunity
“Impending water shortages and extreme droughts this summer”, newspaper headlines warned at the start of May. Following an exceptionally dry month of April, the Flemish government also issued a ‘code yellow’ warning. And true enough, the first heatwave is already behind us. Drinking water shortages seem to be increasing every year. And it’s becoming increasingly clear that this problem will not solve itself. The need to invest in water infrastructure, purification facilities, desalination technologies and monitoring systems is growing more urgent worldwide. Water is therefore a structural growth theme in the long term and offers challenging yet attractive opportunities for investors.
The water crisis is growing
The grim reality of severe water shortages shows why innovation in the field of water technology has become an essential investment theme.
Jonas Theyssens, Portfolio Manager at KBC Asset Management
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Around half of the world’s population is faced with severe water shortages every year. A quarter of the population even uses more than 80% of their available freshwater supply. In the past 40 years, demand for freshwater has risen by more than 40%, while the volume of renewable freshwater per person has decreased by more than half.
This grim reality shows why innovation in the field of water technology has become an essential investment theme. Freshwater consumption continues to rise by around 1% a year. This reflects not just population growth but also changing lifestyles and economic development. At around 70%, agriculture remains the largest consumer but towns, cities and industries are catching up rapidly.
Many regions still have poor water infrastructure. Globally, around 30% of purified water is lost due to leaks, and in some countries this is as much as 70%. Small farmers in dry areas are often dependent on rainfall and have only limited access to irrigation, which harms their productivity. Besides water quantity, water quality is also under pressure. Untreated waste water is a major problem in developing countries. In wealthier countries, agricultural run-off and new pollutants such as PFAS, pharmaceutical products and industrial chemicals are cause for growing concerns. Advanced water purification technology is required to tackle those concerns.
Industry: silent major consumer
While agriculture is often spotlighted in debates on water, some of the most complex water challenges concern production and industrial processes.
Jonas Theyssens, Portfolio Manager at KBC Asset Management
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In many industries, water is essential in cooling, cleaning, dilution and chemical reactions. Companies’ supply chains account for around two thirds of global water consumption. A mere seven sectors account for 70% of freshwater consumption and pollution.
The focus is often on water quantity but water quality is just as crucial. Poor water quality can damage equipment, reduce efficiency and compromise product standards. A Barclays report estimates that water scarcity may cost companies in the consumer discretionary sector up to $200 billion. A CDP study warned of potential annual losses of more than $300 billion if water risks are not managed.
Some industries are faced with even greater demand for water. The semiconductor sector, for instance, is the largest consumer of ultra-pure water (UPW) – a highly refined form of water that is used for cleaning microchips during production. As chips become smaller and more complex, demand for even cleaner water grows as well. UPW is also essential in generating energy, especially in thermal and nuclear power plants, which are affected by corrosion and scale in turbines and boilers. The chemical and pharmaceutical industries likewise rely on UPW to guarantee product purity and reduce environmental impact.
Substantial need for investment
Investing in water sounds like a logical thing to do but is also a challenge because of its nature as a critical resource and political sensitivity.
Jonas Theyssens, Portfolio Manager at KBC Asset Management
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Government agencies are often reluctant to let private-sector companies earn a profit from water, which leads to price regulation and limited profit margins. As a result, water companies are under increasing pressure to upgrade outdated infrastructure without having the financial flexibility to do so.
The need for investment is substantial. The UN estimates that $1.5 trillion annually will be needed by 2030 to bring the global water infrastructure up to the required level. Yet water remains underfinanced compared with sectors such as energy. In the USA, the water industry is highly fragmented, with more than 140,000 public water systems that mostly serve only small groups of the population and lack capital for upgrades. Even in more centralised systems, such as Thames Water in the UK, utilities have to contend with debts and outdated infrastructure.
Moreover, water is highly undervalued, making it difficult for utilities to generate the income required for reinvestment. Public-private partnerships can help but remain controversial because of concerns about rising rates and fair access.
Water technology is the future
Traditional water companies often struggle to generate strong returns. It is therefore best for investors to view the water sector from a different perspective: that of smart water technology.
Jonas Theyssens, Portfolio Manager at KBC Asset Management
There is clearly a growing need for investments in water but traditional water companies often struggle to generate strong returns. It is best for investors to view the water sector from a different perspective. Four areas in water technology may play a key part in tackling industrial and wider economic water challenges:
- Digital water solutions: sensors, AI and satellite data make it possible to monitor water consumption, detect leaks and improve efficiency. Smart meters give both utilities and consumers real-time insight into consumption and losses, thereby facilitating better water management and maintenance planning. These technologies tie in seamlessly with wider industrial digitalisation trends such as Industry 4.0.
- Advanced water treatment and recycling: new technologies including nanofiltration, membrane technology and biological purification help industries to treat and reuse waste water, reducing both demand and pollution. In Indonesia, a nanofiltration upgrade led to an 85% reduction in the use of chemicals and lower energy costs. Companies such as TSMC and Dow recycle large volumes of water to protect operations and reduce dependence on freshwater. These circular approaches are becoming essential, especially as water-related conflicts between companies and communities are on the rise.
- Desalination: removing salt and impurities from seawater is nothing new but it is becoming more efficient and more affordable. Advances in membrane technology may reduce the costs of seawater desalination from $0.50 to $0.30 per cubic metre. Where desalination is driven by renewable sources of energy, it offers a sustainable source of water for industries in water-stressed coastal areas. Lundin Mining, for example, uses desalinated water in its Chilean copper mine to safeguard production in a dry climate.
- Precision irrigation is a smart agricultural technology that utilises data and technology to deliver the right quantity of water to crops, at the right time and in the right place. Instead of evenly watering entire fields, it relies on tools such as soil moisture sensors, weather forecasts, satellite images and GPS to align irrigation with specific requirements of various zones within a field.
Water as an investment opportunity as well as a societal necessity
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The water crisis is one of the greatest challenges of our time but equally an investment opportunity for those looking ahead. Innovation is key: smart solutions that combat wastage, tackle pollution and improve access. For investors seeking to make an impact, water technology is a domain that will continue to grow in importance in the years ahead.
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The content of this article is for information purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice.